Economic Developments – Mixed Sentiment
In the latest DLG Agrifuture Insights survey conducted in the winter of 2025/26, farmers worldwide were once again asked about their current economic situation. In this month’s chart, we take a closer look at the results from European farmers in the main sectors of crop farming, dairy farming, and pig farming.
Across all sectors, all farms are currently facing the major challenge of producing at a profit—given low producer prices, persistently high input costs, and pressure to adapt due to regulatory requirements and increasing documentation obligations.
Assessment of the business situation: Highly dependent on the line of business
Accordingly, crop farms rate their current business situation as average on average and their business outlook as slightly more negative. Pig farmers assess their current business situation and outlook as even more negative. This is not surprising given the political conditions in Germany and the market-related regulatory framework in the European Union (EU). Although dairy farmers are also currently unable to produce at a profit, they nevertheless assess their current business situation more positively than other sectors. This assessment is likely attributable both to the successful recent economic years and to the generally favorable development prospects, viewed from both a medium- and long-term perspective.
Profitability: Negative for pork, positive for milk production
Given high operating costs and low producer prices, European farmers view their profitability—at an average of 3.15—as rather poor. They rate their stability and liquidity as somewhat better.
Overall, they face significant pressure to adapt due to climate change, extreme weather, political mandates, and increasing documentation requirements, coupled with simultaneous uncertainties stemming from international trade agreements, changes to the CAP, and price volatility.
Pig farmers view profitability even more negatively. Producer revenues have been falling here since mid-2025. Reasons include rising slaughter volumes in the EU and Chinese anti-dumping duties, while high cost burdens persist. Added to this are animal disease risks, particularly from African swine fever, which requires strict biosecurity measures and causes marketing problems in restricted zones, as well as newly introduced tariffs and free trade agreements such as Mercosur.
Thanks to record results in recent fiscal years, dairy farmers have built up a financial cushion and therefore consider their stability and liquidity to be good. They rate their profitability as moderate to good.
For context
The data on which the preceding remarks are based was collected at the turn of the year 2025/2026. To properly contextualize the significance of these results, it should be noted here that a current assessment of the business situation and profitability—across all the sectors mentioned here—would likely be more negative. The reason for this is the current raw materials crisis, triggered by the military conflicts in the Middle East, which is already affecting all sectors of the economy. This includes, among other things, the availability of oil, other energy sources, and fertilizers.
DLG-Agrifuture Insights – a comprehensive view on agricultural development
DLG-Agrifuture Insights is the DLG knowledge brand and platform for international trend analyses in the agricultural sector. It examines the business environment in agriculture in Germany and worldwide. For this purpose, farmers and people from agribusiness, science and consulting are surveyed annually on their assessments of the economic situation and development of agricultural businesses, as well as technology trends and innovations in the individual business sectors. A total of 1,772 people took part in the current survey in winter 2025/26.